Last night's Wheeler game was death by 3 outer for me. I was playing squeaky tight (do many players actually recognize this?), so I am always super surprised to get some of the calls I get with my assumed range. The first hand that got me was a raise in front of me by one of my deadly nemesis players. He nearly always gets me, either with a worse hand that improves or a slightly better hand that holds up. I check my cards and find KK. I am now officially calling this hand Hamlet, as the king always gets killed. I of course re-raise to isolate him. He has me covered. Then to my surprise a shorter stack shoves with fewer chips. This is the player who snapped my aces a few weeks ago with his QQ that rivered quads. We turn over our hands:
Nemesis: 9/9
Me: K/K
Snapper: A/Q
The observant and intelligent poker player will quickly see that I have exactly 6 outs against me, 3 for each player. My winning percentage according to my handy dandy pocket odds program are:
Nemesis: 18%
Me: 58%
Snapper: 23%
With odd percentages and possible ties = 100%, I am still a favorite, but not as much as you might think. The flop has an ace, followed by another ace on the turn and the worst starting hand wins hitting 2/3 of his outs. I win the side pot, winning exactly $350 more than my initial shove, so I am pretty much back to where I started. Snapper ends up on the final table with the chips he won.
We are down to almost the final table bubble, I have about 2000 with blinds at 150/300. It is folded to me on the button. I have Q/10 off which is a problematic situation. This is too strong a hand in my opinion to fold on the button against two random blind hands. Also, at least one of the players is a good, observant player who should recognize that I am a tight aggressive player. So, I raise to 950. The small blind (observant) asks me for a chip count. I tell him 1200. He ponders and finally folds. The big blind, a fairly new player...couple of years...who overestimates their skill level snap calls. The flop comes Q/9/5 with 2 spades. Snap call tanks for several moments and finally checks. I shove. They now tank for even longer. I am tempted to say something like, "Think about my range", or "Your ace is no good", or even, "I have a queen, I will show you", or probably best yet, "I think you have AJ, you would have re-raised me with AK or snap called with AQ. I really do not want a call with a vulnerable hand but I know in my heart of hearts that they do not have an over pair or a queen so I am definitely ahead but do not want to lose my seat on a two or three outer. They finally call and table AJ. O.K., bad call but I am still nervous. The turn is an ace of course and despite the jack on the river I fail to make a straight and am out. Done in by the three outer again.
Nemesis: 9/9
Me: K/K
Snapper: A/Q
The observant and intelligent poker player will quickly see that I have exactly 6 outs against me, 3 for each player. My winning percentage according to my handy dandy pocket odds program are:
Nemesis: 18%
Me: 58%
Snapper: 23%
With odd percentages and possible ties = 100%, I am still a favorite, but not as much as you might think. The flop has an ace, followed by another ace on the turn and the worst starting hand wins hitting 2/3 of his outs. I win the side pot, winning exactly $350 more than my initial shove, so I am pretty much back to where I started. Snapper ends up on the final table with the chips he won.
We are down to almost the final table bubble, I have about 2000 with blinds at 150/300. It is folded to me on the button. I have Q/10 off which is a problematic situation. This is too strong a hand in my opinion to fold on the button against two random blind hands. Also, at least one of the players is a good, observant player who should recognize that I am a tight aggressive player. So, I raise to 950. The small blind (observant) asks me for a chip count. I tell him 1200. He ponders and finally folds. The big blind, a fairly new player...couple of years...who overestimates their skill level snap calls. The flop comes Q/9/5 with 2 spades. Snap call tanks for several moments and finally checks. I shove. They now tank for even longer. I am tempted to say something like, "Think about my range", or "Your ace is no good", or even, "I have a queen, I will show you", or probably best yet, "I think you have AJ, you would have re-raised me with AK or snap called with AQ. I really do not want a call with a vulnerable hand but I know in my heart of hearts that they do not have an over pair or a queen so I am definitely ahead but do not want to lose my seat on a two or three outer. They finally call and table AJ. O.K., bad call but I am still nervous. The turn is an ace of course and despite the jack on the river I fail to make a straight and am out. Done in by the three outer again.
1 comment:
Unfortunately, you can never get rid of the idiots. Maybe you should loosen up a bit LOL.
Post a Comment